The most confident wrong answer you will ever read
Ask any AI assistant what a freelance bookkeeper charges in Leeds and you will get a number. It will arrive fast, in a tidy range, with a sentence about regional variation and maybe a bullet list of factors. It will look exactly like research.
It is not research. It is a very good impression of research.
The AI is not looking anything up. It is producing the kind of text that usually follows that kind of question, and numbers are just more text. It has no idea what your competitor down the road charged last Tuesday, and it will not tell you that unless you make it.
This lesson is mostly about that problem, because pricing is the one area where a confident wrong answer costs you real money for years.
In plain English
- Hallucination:
- When an AI states something false with complete confidence. Made-up prices and invented sources are the classic examples.
- Market rate:
- What customers in your area currently pay for work like yours. It moves, and it is local.
- Positioning:
- Where you sit against everyone else: cheapest, fastest, most careful, most specialist.
- Value pricing:
- Charging for what the job is worth to the customer rather than for the hours it takes you.
What AI is genuinely good at here
It is excellent at structuring the research. It cannot do the research, but it can tell you what to look for, in what order, and what questions your pricing needs to answer. That is worth having, because most people price by feel and a vague memory of what someone said in a Facebook group.
โ Weak prompt
Prompt
What should I charge for a wedding photography package in Bristol?
Output
Wedding photographers in Bristol typically charge between 1,200 and 2,400 pounds for a full day package, with premium studios reaching 3,500 pounds.
Plausible, specific, and completely unsourced. Those numbers came from patterns in text, not from any Bristol photographer. Price from this and you may be 40 percent out in either direction.
โ Good prompt
Prompt
I am a wedding photographer in Bristol setting my prices. Do not tell me what to charge and do not estimate any figures. Instead: list the exact things I should go and check, where to find each one, and the five questions my pricing needs to answer. Give me a table I can fill in myself.
Output
Do not price from estimates. Here is what to gather. 1. Six competitors within thirty miles: pull their public package prices from their sites... 2. Your own last twelve bookings: what you charged, what you turned down...
It has become a research plan instead of a fake answer. Every number in the finished table will be one you verified yourself.
Any price, percentage, market size or competitor figure that an AI produces without you giving it the source is a guess dressed as a fact. Treat it as a hypothesis to check, never as a number to use. This is not a small caveat, it is the whole lesson.
I run [what you do] in [where]. I am reviewing my prices for [the service].
Do not estimate any prices, rates or market figures. If you do not have a source
I have given you, say so instead of producing a number.
Give me:
- A checklist of what I should go and find out, most useful first.
- Where each item can actually be found (public price lists, directories, trade bodies, asking customers).
- Five questions my pricing needs to answer.
- An empty table for me to fill in as I gather the real figures.
Checkpoint
Use AI to structure pricing research and to think it through. Get every actual number from a real source you can point at.
Now feed it the real numbers
Once you have gathered actual prices, AI becomes properly useful again. Paste in six competitor price lists you copied from their websites and it will find the pattern faster than you will, because you are too close to it.
Below are prices I copied from six competitor websites this week, plus my own.
Every figure here is real and checked. Do not add any figures of your own.
Tell me:
- Where I sit in this group, and what that says about how I look to a customer.
- What the higher-priced ones include that I do not.
- Two ways I could restructure my packages without dropping my price.
- Anything in the data that surprises you, and what I should check next.
THE PRICES:
[paste what you gathered, with the source next to each]
Some AI tools can search the web and give you links. That is a real improvement, but only if you open the links. A cited source is not a checked source. Click through, and if the page does not say what the AI claimed, discard the claim and be a bit more suspicious of the rest.
The conversation worth having
Where AI earns its keep in pricing is not the number, it is the argument. Most sole traders undercharge because they have never had anyone push back on their reasoning, and asking a friend is awkward.
Here is my price and how I arrived at it: [explain it, including your costs and
how long the job takes].
Play three roles, one at a time.
- A sceptical customer: what makes this feel expensive?
- A rival charging thirty percent less: how would they undercut me?
- A blunt business mentor: what am I failing to charge for?
Be specific and do not be reassuring. Do not invent market data. Work only from
what I have told you.
Run that once and you will usually find at least one thing you have been doing free for years. A bakery discovers it has never charged for delivery. A photographer realises the four hours of editing after every shoot has quietly become unpaid labour.
Pricing decisions ripple into tax, thresholds and how you register. That is accountant territory, not chatbot territory. Use AI to arrive at your meeting with clear questions and real figures. Let a professional tell you what it means for your obligations.
A quick sanity habit
When an AI hands you any figure, ask it one follow up: where did that come from. If it names a specific, checkable source, go and check it. If it says something like based on general industry knowledge, you have your answer. That is the machine politely telling you it made the number up, and Gemini, Claude and ChatGPT will all do it.
๐ Quiz
Question 1 of 4An AI tells you photographers in your city charge between 1,200 and 2,400 pounds. How should you treat that?